ASX-listed Universal Coal’s FY2019 EBITDA is expected to be A$93 million – an increase of 29% from last year.

Increased sales tonnages to 6 Mtpa

  • Kangala Colliery steady state sales of 2.4 Mtpa
  • New Clydesdale Colliery (NCC) sales tonnes forecast 2.7 Mtpa, 29% increase from prior year
  • North Block Complex (NBC) inclusion from January 2019, subject to finalisation of acquisition

Growth Outlook beyond FY2019

  • Inclusion of the Paardeplaats resource at NBC post receipt of regulatory approval
  • Eloff Project development to significantly extend Kangala Colliery Life of Mine
  • Eloff Project has the potential to double the Kangala Colliery current production
  • Brakfontein project development expected to deliver additional 1.2 Mtpa

Operational summary

Universal Coal currently has two collieries, both operating at a steady state of production with a third in acquisition.

Both collieries have proven consistent in meeting the required off-take agreement tonnages both from ESKOM and Export, allowing the company the confidence of continued delivery on the success from FY2018, with the significant increase in production and therefore earnings in FY2019.

Universal Coal is in the process of acquiring the North Block Complex from Exxaro Coal Mpumalanga and Exxaro Coal.

Following recent developments on making the deal unconditional, the company expects the North Block Complex assets to transfer during Q2, F2019.

The company has prudently included only the current rate of production from the North Block Complex for the period January to June 2019.

The time-frame from transfer to the end of June 2019 will allow the company to commence the transformation of the colliery into a ‘Universal Coal Business Model’, whilst increasing production back to historical levels.

The Paardeplaats Extension will be included into the production pipeline once all regulatory approvals have been received in 2019.

The current forecast does not include any production from the Brakfontein/Ubuntu project, as Universal is still in the process of finalising feasible off-take agreements and production options, and due to the uncertainty of timing on this matter, the project has been excluded from current guidance.

The company will update the once these are achieved and if the project commences development.

https://www.miningreview.com/universal-coal-2019/